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Showing posts with label Control. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Control. Show all posts

Sunday, November 11, 2012

House stays under Republican control

By Richard Cowan

WASHINGTON | Wed Nov 7, 2012 3:59am EST

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - It may have been the most unpopular House of Representatives in modern times, but that did not stop voters on Tuesday from leaving it firmly in Republican hands, according to projections.

While more than 18 incumbent House members from both parties were defeated, according to results available early on Wednesday, there was no obvious ideological or partisan pattern. Redrawn districts, as a result of the 2010 census, were responsible for some incumbent losses.

The results might disappoint those who had hoped for new and clear marching orders from voters on such issues as the deficit or immigration. Instead, they will get another divided Congress with deep divisions over pressing economic issues.

A contented House Speaker John Boehner told party faithful at an election-night rally that he and fellow Republicans had "offered solutions and the American people want solutions and tonight they responded by renewing our House Republican majority."

While Boehner said he would work with "any willing partner," he warned political opponents that he would continue battling Democratic moves to raise taxes on the rich.

"With this vote, the American people also made clear there's no mandate for raising tax rates," Boehner said.

The results could mean at least two more years of divided U.S. government as Democratic President Obama won re-election over Republican Mitt Romney and Democrats were projected to retain control of the Senate.

With the projected Republican win in the House, the partisan brand of politics the party practiced for the past two years appeared not to have seriously damaged its brand.

When the new House is sworn in next January, it will look much like the House that nearly brought about government shutdowns and a historic default on debt in 2011.

Sarah Binder, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, said Republicans could now be situated to hold their majority in the House for quite some time. She spoke of a "structural advantage" the party holds "because of the way Republican voters are spread out over the country ... with strength in suburban and rural areas."

Binder added that unexpected "wave elections," such as the ones that swept Democrats into power in the House in 2006 and Republicans in 2010, while not the norm, could interrupt a party's long run in the majority.

The bitter partisanship in the 435-member chamber - a thorn in Obama's side - was thought to have contributed to record low public approval ratings of Congress that at one point dipped to 10 percent.

If voters did not like the overall tenor of Congress for the past two years, they seemed to remain satisfied with their individual members.

Election results were still coming in, but it appeared as if Boehner would preside over a House next year that is close to the 240 Republicans and 190 Democrats who now populate the chamber. Currently, there also are five vacancies.

With the outcome of several races still unknown, Republicans were holding at least 226 seats to the Democrats' 173.

But Republicans no longer will represent any northeastern U.S. congressional districts, the Capitol Hill newspaper Roll Call reported. Republicans did, however, beef up their presence in southern states, the newspaper said.

FISCAL DEALMAKING AHEAD?

"The upshot is that the voters are saying to President Obama and Speaker Boehner: 'Go back to the bargaining table; finish the deal,'" said David Kendall, a senior fellow at Third Way, a centrist think tank in Washington.

Kendall was referring to the intensive negotiations Obama and Boehner held during the summer of 2011, which ultimately fell apart but were aimed at bringing around $4 trillion in deficit reductions over 10 years.

Following that breakdown, many congressional leaders said that only the 2012 elections could settle the Democratic-Republican dispute over taxes and spending that stood in the way of an Obama-Boehner handshake.

On election night two years ago, the so-called Tea Party faction shook Washington's political establishment as conservative Republicans rode that small-government movement to a tidal wave victory.

Suddenly, skyrocketing federal debt, which Republicans said threatened to swamp the struggling economy and hamper job creation, dominated the national conversation.

It was in large part due to the Tea Party that Republicans wrested control of the House from then-Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her fellow Democrats.

Two years later, voters displayed some fatigue with the Tea Party as some of the movement's stars were either defeated in their Senate bids or faced difficult re-election bids in the House.

Two of the highest-profile Tea Party activists in the House - Michelle Bachmann and Allen West - were struggling to keep their seats.

Freshman Representative Joe Walsh, a Tea Party favorite, lost his race against Democrat Tammy Duckworth, an Iraq war veteran who lost both her legs in combat. The Illinois district is near Chicago, Obama's hometown.

Even so, Republicans were not expected to abandon the central tenets of Tea Party ideology, especially with other Tea Party activists, such as Steve King in Iowa, winning re-election.

"There will still be enough Republicans enamored by the Tea Party idea against raising taxes," said Youngstown State University political science professor Paul Sracic. "We're looking at a huge struggle in the lame-duck and next year," he said of the post-election session of Congress and the expected fights over tax policy in 2013.

STARS COME AND GO

Besides battling over taxes and spending, the Republican House and Democratic Senate likely will have an opportunity to clash over other large initiatives.

A senior Democratic aide said the Senate was likely to send the House an Obama jobs package that Republicans previously denounced. The aide said the Senate could also produce an immigration reform bill - if it could garner the "super-majority" necessary for all major bills - that would also present Republicans with problems.

When the new House convenes in January, it will do so without a couple of its most colorful politicians: Former presidential candidate Dennis Kucinich, the Democrat who early in his career gained fame as the "boy mayor" of Cleveland, was defeated in a primary race earlier this year. Ron Paul, the libertarian Republican who is sometimes referred to as the father of the Tea Party movement, has retired.

But there will still be plenty of interesting characters in the new House, including Democratic Representative Charles Rangel. The 82-year-old congressman from New York City survived ethics charges in 2010 and won a 22nd two-year term on Tuesday.

House Democrats will await former Pelosi's decision on whether she will stay on as Democratic leader now that she has again failed to engineer her party's takeover of the House.

The new House could have one other bit of star power: Republican Paul Ryan, who was Romney's vice presidential running mate and who has made the federal budget the focus of his 14 years in the House, was easily reelected by voters in his southern Wisconsin district.

(Additional reporting by Diane Bartz. Editing by Fred Barbash, Peter Cooney and Paul Simao)


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Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Control of Senate may hinge on Ohio race

Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown (C) talks to workers at a campaign event in Columbus, Ohio, October 24, 2012. REUTERS/Nick Carey

1 of 3. Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown (C) talks to workers at a campaign event in Columbus, Ohio, October 24, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Nick Carey

By Nick Carey

CHILLICOTHE, Ohio | Mon Oct 29, 2012 3:46pm EDT

CHILLICOTHE, Ohio (Reuters) - Ohio's Senate race has become one of the most expensive in the country in the 2012 election campaign, as money pours into the state to help a young Republican challenger come within striking distance of Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown.

Ohio, a key prize in the race for the White House, also could decide which party controls the U.S. Senate.

Republicans need a net gain of four seats to have an outright majority in the Senate, and would have effective control with a gain of three seats if presidential candidate Mitt Romney and his running mate, Paul Ryan, are elected.

Much of the $27 million in outside money flowing into Ohio has come from conservative and business interest groups seeking to elect Josh Mandel, the 35-year-old state treasurer dubbed the "boy wonder" by Republican Governor John Kasich.

"The outside money has enabled Josh Mandel to run a competitive race," said Grant Neeley, a political science professor at the University of Dayton. "He didn't have name recognition before. The political ads have allowed him to build that name recognition and get his name out there."

Recent polls show Mandel gaining ground but still an average of 5.2 percentage points behind Brown, 59, a gravelly-voiced senator first elected in 2006 and who has touted his backing for the 2008 auto bailout.

Ohio has the second largest auto industry presence after Michigan, supporting an estimated 850,000 jobs.

Mandel, a Marine veteran who began his Senate run three months after taking office in 2011, is getting strong support from the fiscally conservative Tea Party movement, which was a major force in the 2010 congressional elections.

"I would vote for you for president," Edward Ryan, who teaches criminal investigation and police science, told Mandel during the candidate's recent visit to a vocational college in Chillicothe in southern Ohio.

"I like that Mandel is fiscally responsible and not afraid to call out either side over spending," Ryan said afterward.

Brown, for his part, is getting support from organized labor, partly due to the auto bailout issue.

"Ohioans are common-sense people who vote with their paychecks, so I think they'll back Sherrod," Dorsey Hager, a union member, said at a Brown campaign event last week.

Although Ohio's 7 percent unemployment rate is below the national rate of 7.8 percent, the health of the state's economy is a top issue for voters here, Neeley said.

"Unemployment has come down, it's still a big deal for Ohioans to talk about the economy," he said. "And how Ohioans view the economy will matter on election day."

INFLUX OF CASH

Mandel's political career began while he was still in the Marines, where he served two tours in Iraq. Serving first as a councilman in Lyndhurst, a Cleveland suburb, from 2003 and then as a state representative from 2006, before campaigning extensively for state treasurer in 2010.

Brian Rothenberg, executive director of the left-leaning non-profit group ProgressOhio, has known Mandel for years and says he started out as a moderate before moving to the right.

Mandel's major supporters include Republican strategist Karl Rove's Crossroads GPS, which has spent $4.6 million on advertising in the race, plus the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which has spent $4.3 million and the National Federation of Independent Business ($1 million), according to federal regulatory filings.

Conservatives see Brown as far too liberal, which adds to the appeal of unseating him.

On the other side, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has spent $3.4 million backing Brown, while Majority PAC has spent $3.1 million in his behalf and the Service Employees International Union has spent $750,000.

Separately, Brown has raised more than $16.5 million and Mandel has raised more than $14.5 million.

Michael McTeague, a political scientist at Ohio University, said that Mandel's youth may be a disadvantage, while the feeling that the Obama administration has been waging a "war on coal" is a negative for Brown in coal-rich southeastern Ohio.

Cities like Cleveland and Columbus favor Brown, while Mandel appears to be strong in rural areas.

"People around here realize it's not enough just to send Mitt (Romney) to Washington because we need a conservative Senate too," said Geoffrey Phillips, the Republican treasurer in Clinton County in southern Ohio, who attended a Mandel event last week. "Voters here know that if you send Mitt, you've got to send Josh too."

(Reporting By Nick Carey; Editing by Paul Simao)


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